For most it went like this
1 or 2 is isolated, 3 or 4 interesting 5 or 6 a pattern etc etc.
The honest truth is no one has a definitive answer as to what and why has caused breakages and why unless coincidental have all but 1 been on Ohlins shod models.
For me the major thing that convinced me wa s Scott's crash. I have known Scott for many years through Aprilia ownership and he is no mug and on and off the record we have discussed his accident and the investigation that went on in NZ. What is clear is something out of the ordinary is happening.
Statistically it's still only 1 or 2 % of bikes sold that have crashed in similar circumstances but how many people crashed and didn't know what caused it ?
You have to make a judgement call and for £40 why take the risk for what is essentially 2 tanks of fuel. Statistically only 7 we know of have failed in the same way so your chances of not having a problem are very good but that statistic is little consolation if your the 8th.
At times the AF1 debate had become personal and lost it's way but with maybe a very few exceptions most were genuinely trying to find answers or mitigate the risks for others. If nothing else the af1 links look nice on the bike and most of you would think nothing of spending £40 on bling fo the beast.
This is the wear on a 3000 mile plate. 0ver 1 mm worn into it on a plate 5mm thick. You don't have to be einstein to know that's not good.